Tracking betting odds for the next Pope
These odds are aggregated from various bookmakers and updated hourly. They represent the likelihood of a candidate being elected as the next Pope, with lower odds indicating a higher likelihood. The odds are subject to change based on various factors, including news events, rumors, and public opinion.
Odds last updated: 6 months ago
| Rank | Candidate | Age | Bio | Hist. | 24 hrs | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pietro Parolin
Italy |
70 |
|
|
- | 3.24 |
| 2 |
|
Luis Antonio Tagle
Philippines |
67 |
|
|
-0.2 | 4.32 |
| 3 |
|
Pierbattista Pizzaballa
Italy |
60 |
|
|
- | 7.52 |
| 4 |
|
Matteo Zuppi
Italy |
63 |
|
|
-0.4 | 7.64 |
| 5 |
|
Peter Turkson
Ghana |
76 |
|
|
-2.0 | 9.92 |
| 6 |
|
Peter Erdo
Hungary |
72 |
|
|
+0.3 | 11.58 |
| 7 |
|
Robert Sarah
Guinea |
79 |
|
|
-4.3 | 20.33 |
| 8 |
|
Jean-Marc Aveline
France |
63 |
|
|
+1.0 | 21.60 |
| 9 |
|
Fridolin Ambongo Besungu
Democratic Republic of the Congo |
64 |
|
|
+5.3 | 22.50 |
| 10 |
|
Mario Grech
Malta |
68 |
|
|
-2.3 | 25.65 |
| 11 |
|
Jose Tolentino
Portugal |
59 |
|
|
-0.8 | 37.27 |
| 12 |
|
Raymond Leo Burke
United States |
76 |
|
|
-1.9 | 37.89 |
| 13 |
|
Claudio Gugerotti
Italy |
69 |
|
|
+6.0 | 38.62 |
| 15 |
|
Mykola Bychok
Ukraine |
45 |
|
|
+10.9 | 41.07 |
| 16 |
|
Kevin Farrell
United States |
77 |
|
|
-6.2 | 46.89 |
| 17 |
|
Cristobal Lopez Romero
Spain |
78 |
|
|
-1.7 | 47.40 |
| 18 |
|
Reinhard Marx
Germany |
71 |
|
|
+2.3 | 48.36 |
| 19 |
|
Robert Francis Prevost
United States |
69 |
|
|
+6.8 | 50.25 |
| 20 |
|
Wilton Daniel Gregory
United States |
77 |
|
|
-2.6 | 50.71 |
| 22 |
|
Timothy Radcliffe
United Kingdom |
73 |
|
|
+0.8 | 52.53 |
| 25 |
|
Charles Maung Bo
Myanmar |
76 |
|
|
+2.0 | 56.00 |
| 26 |
|
Mauro Gambetti
Italy |
60 |
|
|
-4.6 | 56.20 |
| 28 |
|
Anders Arborelius
Sweden |
75 |
|
|
-5.7 | 58.81 |
| 29 |
|
Timothy Dolan
United States |
75 |
|
|
-3.6 | 58.87 |
| 30 |
|
Louis Sako
Iraq |
76 |
|
|
+7.0 | 60.00 |
| 34 |
|
Wim Eijk
Netherlands |
71 |
|
|
-1.8 | 60.67 |
| 35 |
|
Angelo Scola
Italy |
83 |
|
|
+0.7 | 61.11 |
| 36 |
|
Joseph Tobin
United States |
73 |
|
|
-4.4 | 61.82 |
| 38 |
|
Lazarus You Heung-sik
South Korea |
74 |
|
|
-16.6 | 62.93 |
| 39 |
|
Malcolm Ranjith
Sri Lanka |
77 |
|
|
-1.0 | 63.33 |
| 40 |
|
Fernando Filoni
Italy |
79 |
|
|
-1.4 | 64.69 |
| 41 |
|
Jean-Claude Hollerich
Luxembourg |
66 |
|
|
+22.1 | 64.94 |
| 44 |
|
Konrad Krajewski
Poland |
61 |
|
|
- | 71.78 |
| 45 |
|
Christoph Schonborn
Austria |
80 |
|
|
+17.5 | 75.17 |
| 47 |
|
Francisco Robles Ortega
Mexico |
76 |
|
|
+1.7 | 75.67 |
| 48 |
|
Sean Patrick OMalley
United States |
80 |
|
|
-7.1 | 76.33 |
| 50 |
|
Mark Ouellet
Canada |
80 |
|
|
-7.9 | 78.72 |
| 51 |
|
Angelo Bagnasco
Italy |
82 |
|
|
+60.0 | 78.89 |
| 52 |
|
Michael Czerny
Canada |
78 |
|
|
-2.9 | 79.12 |
| 53 |
|
Joao Braz de Aviz
Brazil |
78 |
|
|
+53.8 | 84.81 |
| 54 |
|
Gerald Cyprien Lacroix
Canada |
67 |
|
|
+62.6 | 85.56 |
| 55 |
|
Odilo Pedro Scherer
Brazil |
76 |
|
|
+6.8 | 87.33 |
| 56 |
|
Jaime Spengler
Brazil |
67 |
|
|
-3.3 | 87.67 |
| 57 |
|
Lauro Tisi
Italy |
65 |
|
|
+26.6 | 94.00 |
| 58 |
|
Baldassare Reina
Italy |
71 |
|
|
-6.8 | 95.55 |
| 59 |
|
Angelo De Donatis
Italy |
71 |
|
|
-3.2 | 99.61 |
| 61 |
|
Gerhard Ludwig Muller
Germany |
77 |
|
|
+5.5 | 103.78 |
| 62 |
|
Carlos Aguiar Retes
Mexico |
75 |
|
|
-39.5 | 104.07 |
| 63 |
|
Daniel Sturla
Uruguay |
61 |
|
|
-8.3 | 109.33 |
| 64 |
|
Francis Arinze
Nigeria |
92 |
|
|
+27.7 | 110.83 |
| 65 |
|
Vincent Nichols
United Kingdom |
79 |
|
|
-10.3 | 111.41 |
| 66 |
|
Oscar Rodriguez Maradiaga
Honduras |
82 |
|
|
-36.9 | 118.07 |
| 67 |
|
Mauro Piacenza
Italy |
81 |
|
|
+1.8 | 118.93 |
| 68 |
|
Blase Joseph Cupich
United States |
76 |
|
|
-35.5 | 122.40 |
| 69 |
|
Wilfrid Napier
South Africa |
84 |
|
|
-16.4 | 123.50 |
| 70 |
|
Antonio Canizares Llovera
Spain |
77 |
|
|
+20.4 | 124.47 |
| 71 |
|
Gianfranco Ravasi
Italy |
82 |
|
|
+8.3 | 125.21 |
| 72 |
|
Arthur Roche
England |
74 |
|
|
-27.0 | 126.71 |
| 73 |
|
William Goh
Singapore |
67 |
|
|
- | 134.33 |
| 74 |
|
Thomas Collins
Canada |
78 |
|
|
- | 134.33 |
| 75 |
|
Piero Marini
Italy |
83 |
|
|
- | 134.33 |
| 76 |
|
Salvador Iniguez
Mexico |
76 |
|
|
-16.7 | 134.33 |
| 77 |
|
Leonardo Steiner
Brazil |
75 |
|
|
-16.4 | 135.30 |
| 78 |
|
Jack McDonald
United States |
71 |
|
|
-0.2 | 136.07 |
| 79 |
|
Dominik Duka
Czech Republic |
82 |
|
|
-64.9 | 147.07 |
| 80 |
|
Bechara Peter Rai
Lebanon |
80 |
|
|
-63.3 | 156.47 |
| 81 |
|
John Dew
New Zealand |
66 |
|
|
-138.9 | 205.57 |